Circles - A new map of the viruses that predicts epidemics
The most simple platform for forecasting epidemics.
Emergent viruses of humans, animals and plants are now more common and spreading fast in Ukraine and worldwide. Therefore, their control and forecasting of the possible epidemics is of a great importance. To help to solve this problem, it is proposed to use the Circles map service to analyze the dynamics and prediction of viral infections using AI.
Project Gemini is integrated with this service, which makes it possible to synchronize the map with a Gemini ID to track only those pathogens from the full list that are necessary for a specific research project in Ukraine and worldwide. Selecting the desired virus leads to the display of Gemini profile of the virus in the right corner of Circle map. When working with the service, you can specify a specific virus strain from the open Gemini platform (with geolocation data) and this information will immediately appears in Circles. To visualize the spread of emergent viruses in the different regions of Ukraine, comprehensive experimental database applied, that have been obtained using modern serological and molecular diagnostic methods by different groups of scientists. Because the current system allows editing information by the registered scientific users, it makes it open and fully accessible to scientific community.
The concept of collecting all information about the different pathogens and threats of diseases in one place makes it possible to predict possible epidemics in the future and / or alternative ways and periods of their occurrence. This is achieved by analyzing the influence of various factors and taking into account the understanding of the structural location of many connections (edges) within the network (vertices). For example, when two peaks (circles) merge, one of which contains a strain of the H1N1 flu virus, and the other H7N2 strain of the same virus, an antigenic drift may occur, resulting in emergence of a new, more pathogenic strain of the virus. This event with a high degree of probability will lead to a start of new epidemic.
Circles has a wide range of applications and integrations: from the professional platforms for scientific work, based on the taxonomic characteristics of viruses in a particular region, to the Vaccine Passport, with the ability for any person to select the most (epidemically) safe route on their upcoming trip.
The use of all Circle parameters including the spread of the disease, interventions and the severity of the registered events, makes it possible to predict and evaluate the wide range of possible projections.
The project is part of Bella for Science.